August 01, 2006
Confederate Yankee asks "Were the Qana Bodies Staged?"What I'm hearing more than anything is a collection of tough questions about a story that doesn't seem to make sense. I raised some of these questions yesterday, and was savaged as "insane" for trying to spread "conspiracy theories." I found this odd, considering my only theory was that I shouldn't believe everything I hear from the political operatives of a terrorist organization. I don't believe everything al Qaeda or Hamas says. Why would I trust Hizb'Allah?Sweetness & Light wonders if this represents the premier of "Hezbollywood"
EU Referendum asks "Who is this man?"
Soccer Dad wonders "To what degree was the media manipulated?"
Daled Amos notes "Further discrepancies"
For my part, everything coming from a known propaganda machine is immediately suspect. Even a propaganda machine spreads truth on occasion, but a propaganda machine doesn't deserve the same benefit of the doubt as a known trusted source. Islamofascists are notorious for engaging in the practice of taqiyya--i.e., lying. I don't think anyone outside of Hizb'Allah is claiming to know exactly what happened at Qana. Those who were there have a story, but their story doesn't appear to make sense. We may never know the full story. We can, however, be confident of at least four things:
1. This story, like all others involving dead children, has been, and will continue to be, manipulated to maximum effect by the Hizb'Allah operatives in the areaAs we learn more, what initially appeared to be an inconsistency may turn out not to be at all. As I said yesterday, knowing what I knew then, something doesn't look right here. Nothing I've seen since then has answered any of my questions. Most of what I've seen has only raised more questions.2. There are pieces of the Qana story that we don't have right now
3. Most of the pieces we do have originate from questionable sources
4. The pieces of the story we do have don't fit together quite properly
If there turns out to be "something there," and past performance is any indication, the blogs are likely to chew on this for a week or so before the MSM catches wind of it. And then they'll pat themselves on the back for "digging deeper" and "asking the tough questions."
(* - I stole the title from someone, but I lost my notes on who it was. If it was you, let me know.)
UPDATE: * - The title was inspired by a comment by George guy, who blogs at Neoprophet.
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July 31, 2006
It says something about the morality and respect for human life of Hezbollah that they would use innocent civilians as shields; that's just something that for civilized people is not acceptableApparently, John Bolton was absent for Political Correctness 101. Thank God for that.
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From the facts as they presently appear, the building in Qana was hit by an IAF air strike sometime between midnight and 1:00 am, and collapsed sometime between midnight and 8:00 am. Hizb'Allah claims the building collapsed immediately after it was hit. The IDF claims they have evidence the building didn't collapse until approximately 8:00 am. The IDF's reputation for veracity is about 1,000 time higher than Hizb'Allah's, so I'm going to give the IDF the benefit of the doubt on this one.
The building's collapse resulted at least partly from combination of the air strike and the passage of time. There's a possibility that something else happened to the building eight hours later. If the building collapsed as a result of only the air strike and the passage of time, we can expect the building would've shown visible signs of significant structural damage after the air strike and before its collapse. If this is true, it's hard to believe anyone could consider the building a safe place to be hanging out after receiving a bomb hit sufficient to bring it down. Perhaps a structural engineer could address whether a building on the verge of total collapse might appear sound to the untrained eye.
Apparently, it's generally agreed that approximately 50 dead women and children were found in the rubble of the building sometime after its collapse. Either they were killed by the airstrike at midnight, killed by the collapse of the building eight hours later or killed by something other than the air strike or the building collapse.
If the women and children were killed by the airstrike, it seems very strange that the corpses would be left in the building for eight hours, unless no one in the village knew the building had been hit, which seems unlikely. Assuming it was known that the building had been hit, how could the people of the village know that all the "corpses" were dead? Wouldn't there normally be an evacuation of the survivors and the corpses? If the women and children were killed by the collapse of the building, it seems very strange that living women and children would be placed in a building which had been hit by an air strike and was showing signs of structural damage.
Hizb'Allah has definitely been milking the Qana event for every ounce of propaganda value. We haven't yet seen any conclusive evidence that the building collapse itself was a staged event, but there may be more here than first meets the eye.
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UPDATE: SeeDubya notes "Actually, they’ll probably try this, and it’s pretty close to what they’re doing already, so I shouldn’t laugh."
Thanks to Stix and Banter in Atlanter for the links.
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July 30, 2006
The Israeli air force has been operating intensely for almost three weeks and clearly can use a 48-hour stand down. This decision, if confirmed opens the door to a cease-fire in place that would leave Hezbollah with a draw -- a victory from Hezbollah's point of view. At this point, Hezbollah has a critical decision to make that will not be known until dawn local time, as that is when Hezbollah has launched its first salvoes at Israel in the past.Israel's partial cease fire puts Hizb'Allah in an interesting position. If Hizb'Allah continues its rocket attacks despite the partial cease fire, Kofi Annan and others who continue to call for a full cease fire would do so from a position of even less credibility (assuming that's even possible). Then again, if Hizb'Allah ceases the rocket attacks, it seems that it risks appearing weak at a time when it's been gaining credibility via a show of strength.
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July 28, 2006
From The Washington Times:
Intelligence reports indicate the leader of Hezbollah is hiding in a foreign mission in Beirut, possibly the Iranian Embassy, according to U.S. and Israeli officials.This may or may not be true, of course, as there are other reports of Nasrallah being spotted in Damascus, Syria.
The Times story goes on to speculate on possible Israeli action (emphasis added):
If confirmed, the reports could lead to an Israeli air strike on the embassy, possibly leading to a widening of the conflict, said officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity. Foreign embassies are sovereign territory and an attack on an embassy could be considered an act of war.But the converse is also true. If it's confirmed that the Iranians are allowing Nasrallah to coordinate military and propaganda actions from their embassy, which is sovereign Iranian territory, then the Iranians have committed an act of war against Israel.
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And in this corner, we have the Party of Allah:
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July 27, 2006
Among other things, he says that Hizb'Allah is not a terrorist group and states that they're much like Allied soldiers in WWII. I don't care what your opinion is on Hizb'Allah and / or Allied soldiers. Making that kind of comparison is just stupid.
h/t to Michelle.
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If so, what does this picture say?
h/t: Eric @ Classical Values.
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06:41 PM
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...Saudi-Egyptian-Jordanian opportunism on Palestine has caught up with them: It's finally dawned on them that a strategy of consciously avoiding resolution of the "Palestinian question" has helped deliver Gaza, and Lebanon and Syria, into the hands of a regime that's a far bigger threat to the Arab world than the Zionist Entity. Cairo and Co. grew so accustomed to whining about the Palestinian pseudo-crisis decade in decade out that it never occurred to them that they might face a real crisis one day: a Middle East dominated by an apocalyptic Iran and its local enforcers, in which Arab self-rule turns out to have been a mere interlude between the Ottoman sultans and the eternal eclipse of a Persian nuclear umbrella. The Zionists got out of Gaza and it's now Talibanistan redux. The Zionists got out of Lebanon and the most powerful force in the country (with an ever-growing demographic advantage) are Iran's Shia enforcers. There haven't been any Zionists anywhere near Damascus in 60 years and Syria is in effect Iran's first Sunni Arab prison bitch. For the other regimes in the region, Gaza, Lebanon and Syria are dead states that have risen as vampires.Read the rest here.Meanwhile, Kofi Annan in a remarkable display of urgency (at least when compared with Sudan, Rwanda, Congo et al.) is proposing apropos Israel and Hezbollah that U.N. peacekeepers go in, not to keep the "peace" between two sovereign states but rather between a sovereign state and a usurper terrorist gang. Contemptible as he is, the secretary-general shows a shrewd understanding of the way the world is heading: Already "non-state actors" have more sophisticated rocketry than many EU nations; if Iran has its way, its proxies will be implied nuclear powers. Maybe we should put them on the U.N. Security Council.
Hat tip: SK
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(Yes, it's a commercial.)
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July 26, 2006
See how your enemies rage; your foes proudly raise their heads.They conspire against your people, plot against those you protect.
They say, "Come, let us wipe out their nation; let Israel's name be mentioned no more!"
They scheme with one mind, in league against you ...
Deal with them as with ...
hose destroyed at Endor, who became dung for the ground. I'm sure we all remember what happened at Endor.
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July 25, 2006
That's gotta piss of the Jews. But enough to intentionally bomb the UN?
This all seems terribly complicated. Why doesn't the State Department just send our tax dollars straight to Hizb'Allah?
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In Lebanon, where Hezbollah runs a network of schools and hospitals and participates in local elections, Nasrallah, a Muslim, is a hero even to the country's Christian President, Emile Lahoud.Okay, but Lahoud is a politician, right? And he's interested in keeping his head attached to his shoulders. Politics is politics. Surely the mainstream Lebanese see Hizb'Allah as the thugs and criminals they really are?“For us Lebanese, and I can tell you a majority of Lebanese, Hezbollah is a national resistance movement,†says Lahoud. “If it wasn't for them, we couldn't have liberated our land. And because of that, we have big esteem for the Hezbollah movement.â€
President Lahoud has such high esteem for Hezbollah, he's ceded control of the border with Israel to them -- a border where Hezbollah and Israeli soldiers now confront each other just a few yards apart.
Apparently, they don't. In a 2005 poll by the University of Jordan, 74 percent of Lebanese Christians polled viewed Hizb'Allah as a "legitimate resistance organization". Majorities of Lebanese Christians had the same view of Islamic Jihad (54%), Hamas (57%) and Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades (53%). Note that these aren't the numbers for Lebanese population. These are the numbers for the Lebanese Christians. As one would expect, Lebanese Muslims considered all of these groups "legitimate" at levels approaching 100%.
Caveat: the above statements and polling data come from a time prior to last year's assassination of Rafik Hariri. I understand that the assassination had a significant effect on politics in Lebanon. Nevertheless, I was surprised by the above info.
I'd be very curious to hear from any Lebanese readers on this, whether Muslim or Christian.
(Note to Muslim commenters: we have already been informed that Allah is the greatest, that we kuffars will soon be dying fiery deaths and that Satan will be feasting on our bodies for eternity, so there is no need to reiterate that basic info. If you comment, please expand on these basic points or relate them somehow to the events in Lebanon. Thanks.)
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Ignore the irony of Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni being interviewed by a reporter from the country that enabled the murder of six million Jews, and enjoy the relentless logic of Livni's plain-spoken replies. Here, Livni tells the Spiegel reporter, in effect, that Hizballah must cease to exist before there can be peace:
SPIEGEL: What is the goal of the military action?Pathetically, Livni must explain the difference between legitimate self-defense and terrorism for an increasingly stupid and disingenuous world audience:Livni: It's not only about the goal of the military action but about the demands of the international community that we explicitly share. They are: there must be a government and an army in Lebanon. There can no longer be militias and terrorist organizations such as Hezbollah. Hezbollah must be completely disarmed. They should no longer have the ability to be armed by Syria and Iran. In southern Lebanon there can be no more Hezbollah bases. The Lebanese army must be stationed there in its place. The global community a while ago demanded that the Lebanese government fulfill its responsibilities. It hasn't yet done so.
SPIEGEL: How do you react to the massive international criticism of the many innocent victims?Translation for Monsieur Chirac of Fwance: "We're killing vicious terrorists who hide behind women and children, you effeminate dhimmi-monkey©. Duh."Livni: I very much regret the civilian victims. But there is a very significant difference between us and our enemies: we are defending ourselves against anyone who attacks us and use every means possible to prevent hitting civilians. The Hezbollah, however, intentionally aims its weapons at the houses of uninvolved citizens, at women and children. Israel only attacks areas where, according to our knowledge, there are terrorists. The problem is that the Hezbollah hides some of its weapons in apartment houses.
Cross-posted at Vince Aut Morire.
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July 24, 2006
Photos here.
Thanks to LGF and PJM for the heads up.
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Michelle reminds us that it is, indeed.
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Credit to IDF ISRAEL. more...
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July 23, 2006
What Hezbollah has done is kidnap Israeli soldiers and rain rockets and mortar shells on innocent Israeli civilians. What Israel has done in response is act in self-defense. And I don't quite know what the argument about proportionate force means here. Is Israel entitled only to kidnap two Hezbollah operatives and fire a couple of rockets aimlessly into Lebanon?Amen to that.The situation is that Israel has lived under the terrorist threat of Hezbollah for years, and these most recent attacks have given it the legitimate right, the same right America would have if we were attacked, to deal with the problem. And that's what they're doing.
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The British Broadcasting Corp. (BBC) has admitted that many of the victims of Israeli retaliation in Lebanon are terrorists and not innocent civilians. A BBC reporter said he saw Hizbullah terrorists using a private home and added, "It is difficult to quantify who is a terrorist and who is a civilian."The absurdity of the BBC reporter's statement should be clear to any English-speaker upon reading it. It's akin to saying "It is difficult to determine which people are thieves and which people are citizens." Both statements are nonsensical. Though not all citizens are thieves, all thieves are citizens. Thus, there's no dichotomy between "thieves" on the one hand and "citizens" on the other. Similarly, there's no dichotomy between "terrorists" on the one hand and "civilians" on the other. Though not all civilians are terrorists, most terrorists are civilians.Media reports have emphasized that Israeli air strikes have killed more than 350 Lebanese civilians, prompting accusations that the IDF is carrying out "collective punishment" on the country.
Since I realize that the BBC is a foreign news organization and its journalists may not speak English as a first language, it occurs to me that the proper usage of rarely-used English words like "terrorist" and "civilian" may not be clear to them. In order to prevent further confusion, I've put together the following helpful glossary for use by the Beeb's journalists in the future:
"Terrorism": "The unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence by a person or an organized group against people or property with the intention of intimidating or coercing societies or governments, often for ideological or political reasons"; "the calculated use of violence (or threat of violence) against civilians in order to attain goals that are political or religious or ideological in nature; this is done through intimindation [sic] or coercion or instilling fear"From the above, it should be obvious that the only Hizb'Allah terrorists who aren't civilians are those (if any) enrolled in the Lebanese military. All the rest of the Hizb'Allah terrorists are, by definition, "civilians". In other words, the BBC journalist's statement means the following:"Terrorist(s)": "One who engages in terrorism"; "someone who employs terrorism"; "one who utilizes the systematic use of violence and intimidation to achieve political objectives, while disguised as a civilian non-combatant"; "people and nongovernmental organizations planning and executing acts of violence against civilian or noncombatant targets"
"Civilian": "a nonmilitary citizen; associated with or performed by civilians as contrasted with the military... a person who is not a member of a military... [a] citizen not part of the state through participation in the military or police force."
It's tough to separate those people engaging in nongovernmental violence against civilians from those who are not in the Lebanese military.If it's not clear to you by now, the reason it's difficult to separate them is because they're the same people.
BBC journalists: please contact me if you need any further instruction in the English language. I'm happy to help. I know learning a second language can be tough.
UPDATE: One of the commenters accused me of taking the BBC reporter's comment "out of context" and thereby changing its meaning. I've included more of the news article in order to provide the larger "context."
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Hezbollah's strategy will be to tie down the Israelis as long as possible first in the area south of the Litani River and then north in the Bekaa. It can, and will, continue to rocket Haifa from further north. It will inflict casualties and draw the Israelis further north. At a certain point Hezbollah will do what the Taliban and Saddam Hussein did: It will suddenly abandon the conventional fight, going to ground, and then re-emerge as a guerrilla group, inflicting casualties on the Israelis as the Sunnis do on the Americans, wearing them down.The $20,000 question, in my mind, is this: given that each side knows (or thinks it knows) what the other side is planning to do in southern Lebanon, and given that there's no reason to expect that Israel can succeed in disarming Hizb'Allah without another extended occupation and messy guerrila war in Lebanon, what's Israel's game plan? Hizb'Allah knows that the IDF has overwhelming conventional firepower and massive aerial bombardment capability. Hizb'Allah had to expect that these capabilities would be fully utilized. What (if anything) does the IDF have up its sleeve that Hizb'Allah would never expect? What trump cards does Hizb'Allah have to play?Israel's strategy, as we have seen, will be to destroy Hezbollah's infrastructure but not occupy any territory. In other words, invade, smash and leave, carrying out follow-on attacks as needed. Hezbollah's goal will be to create military problems that force Israel to maintain a presence for an extended period of time, so that its follow-on strategy can be made to work. This will be what determines the outcome of the war. Hezbollah will try to keep Israel from disengaging. Israel will try to disengage.
Hezbollah sees the war in these stages:
1. Rocket attacks to force and Israeli response.
2. An extended period of conventional combat to impose substantial losses on the Israelis, and establish Hezbollah capabilities to both Israel and the Arab and Islamic worlds. This will involve using fairly sophisticated weaponry and will go on as long as Hezbollah can extend it.
3. Hezbollah's abandonment of conventional warfare for a prepared insurgency program.
What Hezbollah wants is political power in Lebanon and among the Palestinians, and freedom for action within the context of Syrian-Iranian relations. This war will cost it dearly, but it has been preparing for this for a generation. Some of the old guard may not have the stomach for this, but it was either this or be pushed aside by the younger bloods. Syria wanted to see this happen. Iran wanted to see this happen. Iran risks nothing. Syria risks little since Israel is terrified of the successor regime to the Assads. So long as Syria limits resupply and does not intervene, Israel must leave Damascus out.
Looked at from Hezbollah's point of view, taking the fight to the Israelis is something that has not happened in quite a while. Hezbollah's hitting of Haifa gives it the position it has sought for a generation. If it can avoid utter calamity, it will have won -- if not by defeating Israel, then by putting itself first among the anti-Israeli forces. What Hezbollah wants in Israel is much less clear and important than what it opposes. It opposes Israel and is the most effective force fighting it.
Are both sides just going in for an extended guerilla slugfest? If so, Israel would seem to be at a distinct disadvantage, given the realities of the modern media and the ample historical evidence that democracies have a weak stomach for the messy brutality of extended guerilla warfare.
Ehud Olmert and the other Israeli leaders surrounding him are both military people and experienced politicians. I think we can presume they know all of the above and have factored all of it into Israel's strategy. It seems to me that they must have some reason to think this game, though played in Hizb'Allah's playground, can be played according to Israel's game plan rather than Hizb'Allah's. They must have reason to think that they know things that Hizb'Allah doesn't. We can only conjecture as to what those "things" might be. Hizb'Allah operatives had to know they were being watched as they prepared for this war, but I'll wager they were being watched more closely than they realized. My guess is that Israel knows quite a bit more about the logistical details of Hizb'Allah's operations in Lebanon than Hizb'Allah ever imagined, and that the IDF is currently using that information to defang Hizb'Allah somewhat more effectively than Hizb'Allah had planned for.
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July 21, 2006
During an Al Jazeera interview, Nasrallah apologizes for the deaths of two Israeli Arab children due to a Hezbollah attack in Nazareth: “[W]e consider them martyrs for Palestine and martyrs for the nation.â€Nice.
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LONDON, England (Reuters) -- A hard-line Muslim cleric barred from Britain for glorifying violence said on Friday he tried to get on board a British warship to flee Beirut but was turned back. . .So, everyone has a right to safety, now, do they? What about those children your buddies have been shelling in Israel? Do they have a right to safety, now, too? What about Gilad Shalit, Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev? Do they have a right to safety?"I know myself I am not welcome in the UK ... but I have the right like everyone else to safety," he said. "It is better to try and fail." . . .
In an interview with Reuters in Beirut last August, the bearded cleric said he had no intention of returning to Britain because of the way Muslims there were being treated.
You hypocritical chickensh!+ b!+ch. All that bloodshed you've been advocating all these years? It's all coming to fruition right before your eyes, live in surround sound. Enjoy the show. I pray you die slowly.
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July 20, 2006
I have to say, watching George Bush talk about Israel the last week has reminded me of a feeling that I hadn't felt in so long I forgot what it felt like: the feeling of pride when your president says what you want your president to say, especially in a matter that chokes you up a bit. I surrender my credentials as Bush exposer - from the very beginning - to no man, but on Israel, I love it that a U.S. president doesn't pretend Arab-Israeli conflict is an even-steven proposition. . .Anyone have a guess?Lots of ethnic peoples, probably most, have at one time or another lost some territory; nobody's ever completely happy with their borders; people move and get moved, which is why the 20th century saw the movement of tens if not hundreds of millions of refugees in countries around the world. There was no entity of Arabs called "Palestine" before Israel made the desert bloom. If those 600,000 original Palestinian refugees had been handled with maturity by their Arab brethren, who had nothing but space to put them, they could have moved on -- the way Germans, Czechs, Poles, Chinese and everybody else has, including, of course, the Jews. . .
But I digress. I really wanted to say that, for all those who accuse the likes of myself and the birthday girl of being unpatriotic, or hating America first, the feeling I've had watching Israel defend herself and a US president defend Israel (a country that is held to a standard for "restraint" that no other country ever is asked to meet, but that's another story) just reminds me how wrong that is. I LOVE being on the side of my president, and mouthing "You go, boy" when he gets it right.
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