July 31, 2006
From the facts as they presently appear, the building in Qana was hit by an IAF air strike sometime between midnight and 1:00 am, and collapsed sometime between midnight and 8:00 am. Hizb'Allah claims the building collapsed immediately after it was hit. The IDF claims they have evidence the building didn't collapse until approximately 8:00 am. The IDF's reputation for veracity is about 1,000 time higher than Hizb'Allah's, so I'm going to give the IDF the benefit of the doubt on this one.
The building's collapse resulted at least partly from combination of the air strike and the passage of time. There's a possibility that something else happened to the building eight hours later. If the building collapsed as a result of only the air strike and the passage of time, we can expect the building would've shown visible signs of significant structural damage after the air strike and before its collapse. If this is true, it's hard to believe anyone could consider the building a safe place to be hanging out after receiving a bomb hit sufficient to bring it down. Perhaps a structural engineer could address whether a building on the verge of total collapse might appear sound to the untrained eye.
Apparently, it's generally agreed that approximately 50 dead women and children were found in the rubble of the building sometime after its collapse. Either they were killed by the airstrike at midnight, killed by the collapse of the building eight hours later or killed by something other than the air strike or the building collapse.
If the women and children were killed by the airstrike, it seems very strange that the corpses would be left in the building for eight hours, unless no one in the village knew the building had been hit, which seems unlikely. Assuming it was known that the building had been hit, how could the people of the village know that all the "corpses" were dead? Wouldn't there normally be an evacuation of the survivors and the corpses? If the women and children were killed by the collapse of the building, it seems very strange that living women and children would be placed in a building which had been hit by an air strike and was showing signs of structural damage.
Hizb'Allah has definitely been milking the Qana event for every ounce of propaganda value. We haven't yet seen any conclusive evidence that the building collapse itself was a staged event, but there may be more here than first meets the eye.
Posted by: Ragnar at
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http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2006/07/milking-it.html
Posted by: Ariya at July 31, 2006 03:25 PM (yHb0A)
Posted by: QC at July 31, 2006 03:37 PM (PX+vn)
- Park rocket launchers next to building
- Wait till boom.
- If boom not close enough, make own boom.
- Wait for media
- Pull out 'dead' women and children
- Hold them up like dead fish prizes for the cameras.
Posted by: Patton at July 31, 2006 03:59 PM (vEIZF)
Posted by: Chad Evans at July 31, 2006 04:02 PM (+0rMT)
It doesn't seem to matter in this propogandized war what Israel and America actually does, since we can be set up and falsely accused so easily and effectively. I think we need to fight to win this war against radical islam and not worry so much about the spin. we know who we are and we do not seek to kill innocent children.
Posted by: Heroic Dreamer at July 31, 2006 04:06 PM (aH6Zf)
Posted by: davec at July 31, 2006 04:19 PM (voZp6)
Look, I've seen nothing credible that says the building waiting 8 hours to collapse. But let's suppose it didn't. You asked why would the bodies be in there 8 hours later. ARE YOU HIGH? This is some isolated village in the middle of a war zone. Trucks, buses, and cars and ambulances have been blown sky high on all the roads around. The village was under attack. Who was going to go excavate them in the night? How would word get out that 50 people were killed? Who would come get them, since there isn't a functioning government in that part of Lebanon?
I'm a firm believer that Occam's Razor should apply here. I believe the Israelis that Hezbollah was firing rockets from right around there. I believe the Israelis when they say they weren't targeting the building. I'm sure Hezbollah is lying that they weren't there. But they don't have the foresight, the institutional structure, to manufacture something this big. And they don't NEED to. They knew if the war went on long enough, by the law of averages, some Israeli ordinance would cause a massacre. It happened in 96, in the same spot.
There is no need to create embarrassingly stretched and far-fetched conspiracy theories to excuse the event. It was entirely predictable that this would happen. If you believe that the Israeli response was justified, this shouldn't change your mind. You just look unsure in your convictions as you stretch and strain to somehow make this okay. It's war. In an air war against insurgents in populated areas, this is going to happen, even with smart bombs and humanitarian intentions. Is Hezbollah glad this happened? You bet. Is it bad news for Israel and their weapons supplier, us? You bet.
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 04:22 PM (xhBN1)
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at July 31, 2006 04:25 PM (8e/V4)
Posted by: jesusland joe at July 31, 2006 04:25 PM (rUyw4)
Seriously, this is some dumb shit you guys are working with. Stay here on planet earth, please.
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 04:26 PM (xhBN1)
Posted by: jesusland joe at July 31, 2006 04:27 PM (rUyw4)
You believe Hamas to be primitive and too stupid to pull that off (racist?). Just what do you base that on? Arabs are just too dumb?
You know they are not you know regardless they are playing this for all it's worth. You know they place the launchers in Christian neighborhoods rather than Muslim one every single time they get that chance. All civilians are on a side it's just the way it is. Hesbollah is laughing it's ass off at our concern for out enemys casualties. Yes they are spot on sharp. You keep writing them off like that and soon you'll be the dead civilian and they won't give a shit.
Posted by: Darth Odie at July 31, 2006 04:36 PM (D3+20)
Posted by: Darth Odie at July 31, 2006 04:37 PM (D3+20)
Hizbollah is getting it's ass kicked and is desparate to find ways to get the international community to say: " Bad dog " to Israel, all the while maintaining their non-humiliating posture of perserverance and victory over the enemy. Don't expect them to think rationally like us. They are deviant in mind and deed!
Posted by: Last gasp Larry at July 31, 2006 04:38 PM (gLMre)
Posted by: Hucbald at July 31, 2006 04:58 PM (nznaK)
I think all the dead were from two Muslim families. I'm aware that Hezbollah in the north has been putting equipment near Christian neighborhoods. I don't doubt that they do that for a moment. Lebanon is heading for an ugly civil war. The Cedar Revolution was one of the great successes of Bush's foreign policy. Working with the French, they kicked the Syrians out of Lebanon, and started Lebanon on the long road back to peace and democracy. And free markets. All that is in ashes now.
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 05:01 PM (xhBN1)
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 05:02 PM (xhBN1)
Posted by: George guy at July 31, 2006 05:02 PM (QkOQC)
Posted by: jesusland joe at July 31, 2006 05:14 PM (rUyw4)
The armored troops were inefficient in narrow city streets and thus the Jordanian army conducted house to house sweeps for Palestinian fighters and got immersed in heavy urban warfare with the inexperienced and undisciplined Palestinian fighters.
Hussein has often been criticised because of the ordering of 'random' attacks, however, many justify Hussein's decisions, saying that he was out of options. For example, Queen Noor, Hussein's wife, described in her bestseller book title Leap of Faith how serious things were, how many people were killed by the Palestinian groups, and the fact that Hussein didn't actually want to do anything violent, but he was forced to.
King Hussein of Jordan knew the dangers of having a terrorist state, inside a state ~ he took actions to stop it. However it does not seem he was vilified for the actions he took, even though he was forced into a campaign of the same nature.
Posted by: davec at July 31, 2006 05:43 PM (voZp6)
OK, I'm a little skeptical of your facts and by extension the conclusions you draw from them. There are a lot of "apparentlies" and "seems very stranges" in your post. But that's alright, they can be held up to scrutiny I'm sure. Where can I find the details of timelines you're using between bombing and collapse and maybe some of the other unanswered questions?
Posted by: glenn at July 31, 2006 05:52 PM (oxMjD)
Posted by: agesilaus at July 31, 2006 05:57 PM (WcB3E)
Posted by: Cedar Revolution at July 31, 2006 06:13 PM (q5wwn)
Less than half of the bodies came out in one piece.
CNN said "it would be inappropriate to show" some of what was caught on film. The bodies were dismembered for the most part. Get your facts straight.
Posted by: Cedar Revolution at July 31, 2006 06:18 PM (q5wwn)
And I agree with Dave C. There's a double standard at work. Hussein was a visionary for peace by the time of his death, and people forgot the Arab on Arab violence (or, the more sophisticated remembered that Arafat was a filthy liar, and that it would have meant a coup if they didn't get booted). If you want real Arab on Arab brutality, read up on Hama some time. That was worse than anything the Israelis have done.
But this is not an exclusively Arab problem. Native Americans were treated with extreme brutality by the Europeans, including the famous "Nits make lice!" slogan, which newspapers and soldiers promulgated to encourage the killing of children and infants. But it was just as brutal as the way Native Americans treated each other when two tribes came into conflict. What do Native Americans complain about today? You got it.
It's kind of like Jawa doesn't spend a lot of time on Oklahoma City...
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 06:19 PM (xhBN1)
Posted by: Some Dude at July 31, 2006 06:37 PM (WW510)
There is no truth in this war, merely propaganda.
Posted by: MCPO Airdale at July 31, 2006 06:43 PM (3nKvy)
Posted by: Improbulus Maximus at July 31, 2006 06:45 PM (v3I+x)
Soon enough, you'll have this whole ugly business sorted out. And all from the comfort of your own easy-chairs.
Respect.
Posted by: Bertrand at July 31, 2006 06:49 PM (BV7IP)
But the more likely nationality was Iraqi.
In the '91 war, many Iraqi Generals and Colonels made deals with the U.S. before the war even started.
They were repatriated to OKC.
The government has never released videos in evidence that would settle this matter once and for all. They would show JD2 getting out of the passenger side of the Ryder truck just prior to the explosion.
http://sf.indymedia.org/news/2002/11/1542199.php
Posted by: Greg at July 31, 2006 07:00 PM (q5wwn)
Here's one news article on the strange timing:
IDF: Qana building fell hours after strike
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3283816,00.html
Posted by: The All-Seeing Eye at July 31, 2006 07:15 PM (c/4ax)
Posted by: Greg at July 31, 2006 07:27 PM (q5wwn)
Uh, jd, Tim McVeigh and Terry Nichols did not blow up the Federal Building in OKC in the name of a religion. There was no religious jihad going on in that attack, as far as I can tell. They were trying to kill federal agents in revenge for the US Governments actions against the Branch Dividians in Waco. I'm sure we would be discussing it on a daily basis if McVeigh had inspired thousands of similar attacks in the US and around the World, and if those attacks were ongoing. But to discuss a one-time thing that happened years ago on a daily basis would be ridiculous, and quite frankly a waste of time. We do, however get reminded of it as if it did occur daily, and that strikes me as rather odd.
Posted by: jesusland joe at July 31, 2006 07:46 PM (rUyw4)
Islam is a Total Conspiracy, of murder, mayhem and deceit leading to world domination. Sound familiar?
Posted by: n.a. palm at July 31, 2006 07:50 PM (mTlKc)
The real 'conspiracy' here was perpetrated by the FBI, covering up the connnections to Iraq, Phillipines and local palestinian sympathizers living in OKC.
Posted by: n.a. palm at July 31, 2006 07:57 PM (mTlKc)
I guess I didn't realize the IDF statements re: the lapse in time was a controversial piece of information. It's been covered by the AP and written up all over the place.
Posted by: The All-Seeing Eye at July 31, 2006 08:05 PM (c/4ax)
Only the men are bloody. The women and children are not. Nor are they bruised or show any physical injury. In contrast recall the picture for OKC of the little blonde headed boy and the picture taken by Michael Yon of the little Iraqi girl Farrah. The devistation to their fragile little bodies is laid bare before the world. I posted them to my site for easy reference.
That is not to say they images are not those of children and women victims of some horrible tragedy. It does offer the question though of what tragedy?
Posted by: Cmunk at July 31, 2006 08:11 PM (n4VvM)
Damn, my wry point about OKC was missed. I wasn't accusing Jawa of supporting it.
And you conspiracy nuts...wow.
Posted by: jd at July 31, 2006 08:16 PM (NL1A+)
Posted by: Cmunk at July 31, 2006 08:23 PM (n4VvM)
Posted by: glenn at July 31, 2006 08:35 PM (oxMjD)
You may not think it matters whether Hizb'Allah is lying or telling the truth re: Qana, but it does.
If Hizb'Allah is lying about this incident, the world should know it. At one time, the Pali Arabs were taken at their word. In a 'he-said, she-said' between the Pali Arabs and the IDF, the public didn't know who to believe. Over time, the Pali Arabs have lost crediblity--and rightly so.
I believe Hizb'Allah is reading from the same playbook as the Pali Arabs, and they deserve to be called on it.
Posted by: All-Seeing Eye at July 31, 2006 08:43 PM (BjOjj)
Posted by: James H. Wundermunch at July 31, 2006 09:00 PM (BV7IP)
I understand you really. I've seen it all over. War is bad OK. You can think for a month of Sundays for reasons it should not be so. You can wish till you are blue in the face. You can deny it. But in the end it's, still there, staring you in the face. They aren't leaving you any other options.
They want it and think they can win. What you want or dream of doesn't count.
Posted by: Howie at July 31, 2006 09:20 PM (D3+20)
n.a. palm - my Shar Pei could have planned and carried out the OKC bombing.
jd - I think your more full of than a bertrad with an easy chair crammed up your ass - but I do admire your ability to argue without getting excited. Either you're one hell of a masochist or a truly decent (but mixed-up) person.
Cedar Revolution - who services your goats while you come online and have your vowel movements?
Posted by: Barney Coppersmith at July 31, 2006 09:34 PM (2BOvC)
Posted by: Improbulus Maximus at July 31, 2006 09:46 PM (v3I+x)
2. Rigor Mortis. I've got the chart on my site. The Israelis claim to have a photo of the buildingng standing at 7am...bomed between 12am and 1am...media is called at 8am, probably arrive around 9am...dig time...bodies are pulled...stiff as a board. In those temperatures rigor mortis should have come and gone (significantly) some 10 hours after the alledged time of death (Israeli bombing) that is not what we see on the film. Those people are stiff indicating a time of death within hours of filming.
3. Israel has announced they believe an IED did the deed.
4. There is a load of other anomalies...no hole in the roof, lack of blood at the scene...dead bodies don't bleed this from the CNN reporter (no friend of Israel I would imagine)...and Israeli citizens, used to seeing this kinda of carnage, telephone in that the color of the victims is not normal.
Hezbollywood. Busted.
Posted by: Khepri at August 01, 2006 12:33 AM (/Eavv)
I don't know how you regard The New Statesman - might be lefty nonsense for all I know, as I don't read it. But I quite liked this article:
http://www.newstatesman.com/200111260006
In fact, it's over-long and a bit wishy-washy, but the pithy little comment at the end sums it up well:
"...the suspension of the civil rights of which America was so justly proud must be giving quiet satisfaction to those behind the 11 September outrages. Disrupting the American way of life was what they wanted, and this is what they have now achieved."
Posted by: Dale at August 01, 2006 06:27 AM (BV7IP)
Posted by: Improbulus Maximus at August 01, 2006 08:06 AM (v3I+x)
Posted by: jesusland joe at August 01, 2006 10:29 AM (rUyw4)
Posted by: Last gasp Larry at August 01, 2006 11:00 AM (gLMre)
He didn't deserve to have some certifiable nut-job threatening to dangle him from the end of a rope. Last Gasp Larry - if you doubt that these things were said, scroll upwards. I'm not saying that the majority of people here would cheerfully hang JD - most people here have *at least* a tenuous grasp on sanity, most have more - but the offer was made.
I wasn't trying to make any general comments. It was a specific response to a specific post. I certainly meant no offense to people with whom I've never conversed before.
Posted by: Dale at August 01, 2006 03:01 PM (BV7IP)
I thought Americans didn't really believe in conspiracy stories?
Posted by: Anwar at August 01, 2006 03:26 PM (Lgnxs)
I'm pointing out that Hizb'Allah has the incentive and the means to fabricate a story, and it looks very much like they may have done so.
No honest broker should object to reasonable questions about a story that doesn't make sense.
Posted by: The All-Seeing Eye at August 01, 2006 04:10 PM (c/4ax)
Posted by: Some Dude at August 01, 2006 07:54 PM (WW510)
Posted by: Last gasp Larry at August 02, 2006 03:34 AM (gLMre)
Posted by: Greyrooster at August 02, 2006 04:02 PM (XqAoh)
Posted by: Mel Gibson's Brother at August 03, 2006 03:11 PM (rlFTO)
Posted by: Greyrooster at August 03, 2006 04:03 PM (XqAoh)
Posted by: Some Dude at August 04, 2006 03:19 PM (WW510)
Posted by: Some Dude at August 04, 2006 03:19 PM (WW510)
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