February 07, 2006
Stop the presses!! This is BIG news. Long time Jawa Report readers know that I have been skeptical of the claim that Saddam Hussein moved whatever WMD capability Iraq had sometime in the weeks leading to the invasion.
If these tapes are authentic, and they actually are of Saddam Hussein talking about WMD which he had, then we should hear some major apologies from the Left real soon.
A former military intelligence analyst, who currently works as a civilian contractor, believes he has found a cache of extremely confidential--and very shocking--audio recordings of Saddam Hussein's office meetings. The audiotapes, which had apparently been overlooked, were found in a warehouse along with many other untranslated Iraqi intelligence files. These tapes are extremely significant, since they may be the best evidence yet of Saddam's secret intentions concerning weapons of mass destruction.Jay at Stop the ACLU points to this NY Sun article which says that The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence has the tapes and is currently reviewing them:Before 9/11, many intelligence experts were convinced that a very strong and important Iraqi WMD connection existed, only to change their minds when no concrete evidence of that connection could be uncovered in the three years following the beginning of Iraqi war.
Because of the considerable historical importance of this stunning recent development, the contractor who obtained and reviewed these tapes plans to release them to the public on February 17, 2006 at the Intelligence Summitsm, a non-partisan, non-profit conference open to the public, scheduled to be held at the Hyatt Regency Crystal City Hotel in Arlington, Virginia that weekend.
After his presentation, a panel of intelligence experts will discuss the ways in which experts may verify the fact that Hussein in fact recorded these audiotapes. These procedures include utilization of voiceprint analysis and other technical means of voice verification. ...
In regard to these highly confidential audiotapes, Attorney John Loftus, President of the Intelligence Summitsm, recently stated that, "Saddam's secret office recordings continued well into the year 2000. In all, they contain at least 12 hours of totally candid discussions with his senior aides. Clearly, after these tapes have been verified and corroborated, they will be able to provide a few definitive answers to some very important-and controversial-weapons of mass destruction questions." Loftus went on to say that the contractor who found and recovered the tapes has requested that his identity remain anonymous until he makes his presentation.
The committee has already confirmed through the intelligence community that the recordings of Saddam's voice are authentic, according to its chairman, Rep. Peter Hoekstra of Michigan, who would not go into detail about the nature of the conversations or their context....One word of caution: I have speculated in the past, though, that Saddam may have believed he had WMD capability. Iraq was a state modeled after Stalinist Russia, so, it is not a stretch to believe that people lied to Saddam in order to save their own skins. Certainly, a lot of Iraqi generals believed that there were WMD. But more often than not these Generals say they didn't have the WMD, but they knew of some other General with them. So, it is possible that the tapes are less revelatory than the claim.Mr. Hoekstra has already met with a former Iraqi air force general, Georges Sada, who claims that Saddam used civilian airplanes to ferry chemical weapons to Syria in 2002. Mr. Hoekstra is now talking to Iraqis who Mr. Sada claims took part in the mission, and the congressman said the former air force general "should not just be discounted." Mr. Hoekstra also said he is in touch with other people who have come forward to the committee - Iraqis and Americans - who claim that the weapons inspectors may have overlooked other key sites and evidence. He has also asked the director of national intelligence, John Negroponte, to declassify some 35,000 boxes of Iraqi documents obtained in the war that have yet to be translated.
However, occam's razor dictates that the simplist explanation is probably the correct one. If Saddam believed he had WMD then there is a high probability that he actually did.
UPDATE: I've included a link to the Intelligence Summit website now. It was not there earlier simply by accident and thanks to Dean for pointing that out.
A lot of commenters point out that John Loftus is not the most reliable source. I have no idea if they are correct or not. But, as I said, I remain a bit skeptical, especially given that most intelligence about WMD in Iraq turned out to be based on rumors. The kind of rumors I cited above where every general assumes other generals have the WMD.
However, the NY Sun article makes the claim The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence has verified that the voice on the tapes is Saddam Hussein. So, it sounds like the tapes are genuine. What is on the tapes remains the key question. We'll see I guess.
Posted by: Rusty at
09:30 AM
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Dude, what planet are you living on?
Posted by: Leopold Stotch at February 07, 2006 09:52 AM (A2WBg)
And the reply will be "Thank God for small favors"
Posted by: William Teach at February 07, 2006 09:56 AM (TFSHk)
Posted by: jesusland joe at February 07, 2006 10:01 AM (rUyw4)
Posted by: bRight & Early at February 07, 2006 10:16 AM (Ffvoi)
Posted by: actus at February 07, 2006 10:18 AM (CqheE)
Posted by: jesusland joe at February 07, 2006 10:33 AM (rUyw4)
Oh I pay attention. Which is different than following his lead. I'm more than happy to talk about the wisdom of the war in iraq.
Posted by: actus at February 07, 2006 10:45 AM (CqheE)
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 07, 2006 11:08 AM (8e/V4)
Posted by: john ryan at February 07, 2006 11:18 AM (TcoRJ)
Posted by: Ariya at February 07, 2006 11:19 AM (uxW3N)
Posted by: a4g at February 07, 2006 11:35 AM (nMd9J)
The 'dead enders' obviously lust after a modicum of vindication for what has become a disastrous fiasco, and will jump on any gossamer hint as if it were a wanton hussy in heat. Did he actually have naughty bits when Junior interrupted intensified UN insections to launch his ill-fated unprovoked invasion and occupation? 1) What did Saddam know? 2) What did Saddam say? 3) When did he say it?
No mobile biolabs, no al Qaeda collaboration, no 'nook-yaller' (with no dedicated aluminium tubes, 'yellow cake' from Niger) programme. Iraq fragmenting in bloody chaos. Jihadists enabled and emboldened. Justified desperation counsels caution.
Tipsy
Posted by: tipsy at February 07, 2006 11:55 AM (z4OM2)
Notice how the moonbats like to claim how the evil rethuglicans "made" Saddam and gave him his WMDs, but will instantly turn around and say he never had WMDs and Bush "lied" and that efforts to find those WMDs is just "desperation."
More of the same-- Lefties trying to play both sides against the middle.
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 07, 2006 12:13 PM (8e/V4)
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 07, 2006 12:14 PM (8e/V4)
This is the first blog I've hit on this so far which references anything BUT the New York Sun. I WANT to believe this but come on, you might as well be citing WorldNet Daily or The Nation.
What the heck is "Intelligence Summit" and is there any link available to it??
Posted by: Dean Esmay at February 07, 2006 12:35 PM (S1ka/)
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 07, 2006 12:57 PM (8e/V4)
Watch
http://www.infowars.com/articles/London_attack/mastermind_mi6_asset.htm
where he claims (on Fox) that MI6 have been harbouring, aiding and abetting known terrorists.
Doesn't quite fit your simplistic picture, does it?
I am not a monkey, a surrenderer nor an eater of cheese.
Posted by: Not Nervous at February 07, 2006 02:13 PM (cFLCt)
Loftus also serves as a media commentator, appearing regularly on ABC National Radio and Fox News. On August 7, 2005, Loftus provided the La Habra, California address of a suspected terrorist named Iyad K. Hilal on Fox News. However, Hilal left the address three years previously and the home was currently owned by the family of Randy Vorick, who were subjected to threats and vandalism and required police protection. [1] Loftus said "I thought it might help police in that area now that we have positively identified a terrorist" but did not say why he did not contact police in a more direct manner. Loftus later apologized for the mistake.
Now THAT's funny.
Posted by: shingles at February 07, 2006 02:20 PM (wbeML)
Posted by: Improbulus Maximus at February 07, 2006 02:39 PM (0yYS2)
One of the hazards of being a murderous dictator is that you end up surrounded by sycophants who tell you what you want to hear, because saying anything else is a good way to end up dead. Saddam probably ordered his people to produce/preserve WMDs, and even if they failed they would have told him that they succeeded and that the WMDs were ready to go at a moment's notice.
Posted by: Steven Den Beste at February 07, 2006 03:27 PM (pqiW9)
Posted by: Oyster at February 07, 2006 03:31 PM (sMLtC)
Posted by: Rusty at February 07, 2006 04:30 PM (JQjhA)
Since both patriotic and humanitarian inclinations would dictate otherwise, I shall assume that impression is a misleading one.
tipsy
Posted by: tipsy at February 07, 2006 05:59 PM (D5QR+)
Are you one of those guys who doesn't use the Internet until you've downed two six-packs?
Posted by: dave at February 07, 2006 06:20 PM (CcXvt)
Posted by: jesusland joe at February 07, 2006 08:21 PM (rUyw4)
By what standard has any of the other wars we or anyone else has fought can anybody like Tipsy honestly say the Campaign in Iraq is the worst ever? Details? Evidence?
Because from my understanding in costs and casualties throughout history vs the goals set forth and the success in acheiving those goals, the Iraq and Afghanistan campaigns have gone off smashingly well.
Again: details, evidence. Precise, factual comparisons of the cumulative events on the ground would be useful.
Posted by: Grayson at February 07, 2006 09:29 PM (3Vh45)
The war in Iraq is a disaster to Tipsy, because Micheal Moore, and DailyKos told him so.
JJ:
lol!
Posted by: dave at February 07, 2006 10:30 PM (CcXvt)
If Americans would shut off their ESPN for a moment, they might learn that the orcs are at the door.
Posted by: Aaron's cc: at February 08, 2006 12:25 AM (ov6Vw)
That is the most obtuse and patently ridiculous statement I've read all week.
Let's boil it down by eliminating every word that smacks of venomous spittle: "The administration and its supporters hope to prove conclusively that the "LIAR!" label bandied about is unfair and untrue." (The nerve of them!!)
Or, let's turn it around: "The whacky conspiracy theorists actually appear to desire that a rogue nation, Syria, is not in possession of contrivances capable of inflicting widespread horror and misery - just so Dingy Harry & The Mooonbat Band can be, albeit to a negligible extent, sanctimonious.
Posted by: Oyster at February 08, 2006 06:19 AM (YudAC)
Word. Their values have no core, so it's not difficult standing their "witty" insight on its head.
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 08, 2006 10:12 AM (WCwrR)
Grayson commented, "People keep claiming that Iraq is an unmitigated, unparalleled disaster" evokes, of course, the words of Army Lt. Gen. William Odom on 29 September 2005:
“The invasion of Iraq I believe will turn out to be the greatest strategic disaster in U.S. history.†Yes, such a conclusion is widespread.
I hasten to note that, fraudulent pretexts aside, I wish the terrorism introduced to Iraq by the invasion was not rampant, that it were not the case that oil production has now reached the lowest point since the invasion, that allies are abandoning the ill-fated fiasco, and that Iran appears to be, especially in the wake of the Iraqi Islamic party's victory over secularists, the undisputed winner in the whole sordid enterprise (as well, of course, as Osama "Dead or Alive" bin Laden for whom the woeful detour provided a recruiting bonanza.)
I am reluctant to diminish the glee of those who detect success in all this, but the facts compel me to concur with most Americans that attacking Iraq was a mistake, going badly, not worth fighting - an American populace who overwhelmingly disapprove of Bush's handling of the matter.
I'm afraid that is how I also see the sad state of affairs, but respect the viewpoint of those who still see it otherwise.
tipsy
Posted by: tipsy at February 08, 2006 12:29 PM (pui+8)
well you are entitled to your opinion, and parts of it are even understandable given the current circumstances. But despite our current difficulties, I believe we'll succeed if we perservere and not cut and run like you folks want us to.
Posted by: Jesusland Carlos at February 08, 2006 07:48 PM (8e/V4)
Posted by: jesusland joe at February 08, 2006 10:16 PM (rUyw4)
"Bush Lied!!"
"Bush went to Iraq for Haliburton!!"
"Bush went to Iraq for his Oil buddies!!"
"There is no stained blue dress at the White House."
Posted by: N!XAU at February 09, 2006 04:49 PM (6seh+)
Posted by: NIXAU at February 09, 2006 05:14 PM (6seh+)
Posted by: NIXAU at February 09, 2006 05:14 PM (6seh+)
The connection has been proven. So was intel on the wmd's shown to exist and not fabricated by the white house.If the wmd's are also proven to exist, even if only saddams' mind, then the negative spin the media constantly puts out will be responsible for further dividing a country and it's officials to the point where health bills, entitlement crisis' and other needed work will never get accomplished.
If Saddam thought he had wmd's, then he could threaten to use them. Nobody would wait to see if the missiles launched actually had chem weapons. Nobody would wait for the missiles to launch. If he thought he had them, that alone is reason enough to act pre-emptively.
If the media, and the dems were responsible, they would report that estimates of insurgency, war costs and length of times are always guesses at best. Hazzards of war. Name one war where these estimates have been correct.
America, france, South africa and most other countries took decades to get truly stable govt's when independence was acquired. Should we expect Iraq to be stable in 2?
the fact is, the democrats are telling lies now, and the media is generally supporting those lies, and it's the most dangerous thing in the country right now. The repubs did it also. This type of politics and media spin are putting the country in jeopardy. It's probably just as responsible for 9/11 as any other factor, except the true main factor. Islamic extremism. That must be eliminated before we have a world war over something stupid, like a cartoon.
We need our politicians to work together, not at each others throats. As citizens, we should demand it, and not play into the media's power game of how much control they can have in politics, or fear they can instill in politicians through the use of negative spin.
Posted by: morph at February 10, 2006 02:11 AM (Cyhkm)
Posted by: bcory at February 14, 2006 07:00 PM (FRQsm)
Posted by: motorboy at February 14, 2006 07:11 PM (EnywW)
Posted by: slappyxxx at February 15, 2006 08:33 PM (4cCxG)
Posted by: ecco at February 16, 2006 07:30 AM (EDerD)
However, anything less than actually finding WMDs will not change the image of the US abroad, nor the tone of the liberal media. No matter how efficiently the war was conducted, and no matter how free and prosperous Iraq becomes, they will never let us forget that the stated reason for invading was never proven. It will not be enough to say that Saddam was so crazy and delusional that he tricked us into attacking him.
I am anxious to see the reaction of the MSM tomorrow. I suspect the revelations on the tapes will be overshadowed by relentless images of Abu Graibe (sp?), which the MSM never seems to get tired of.
Posted by: Drew at February 16, 2006 01:03 PM (Q4Evk)
Posted by: Gladiator at February 17, 2006 10:32 AM (SnzyS)
http://www.ms[remove]nbc.msn.com/id/11299205/site/newsweek/
Saddam Tapes: What They Don't Prove
At one point Saddam muses how vulnerable D.C. would be to a "biological" attack, but adds that Iraq wouldn't do it.
...
Two government officials, requesting anonymity because of the sensitive subject, say the tapes in no way prove that WMD stockpiles or programs existed at the time of the U.S. invasion or were moved to another country before U.S. troops arrived.
Posted by: bobby fletcher at February 17, 2006 04:13 PM (vm83q)
Posted by: Tom at February 21, 2006 01:33 PM (lvvY2)
You know it's time to give up the bushwa when one of the seminal thinkers in the neocon school, Francis Fukuyama, abandons the disaster:
http://news.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=266122006
...and, not surprisingly, nary a peep from a Bush regime desperate for a modicum of vindication concerning Sada's uncorroborated hearsay. It is revealing that those who hasten to besmirch the reputations of individuals who have served Republican administrations with dedication and integrity such as Richard Clark and Paul Pillar, readily embrace the self-aggrandizing ravings of a bloak who had done whatever was necessary to rise to the second highest post in Saddam's air force.
Quite sad, actually. Still, truth eventually penetrates.
tipsy
Posted by: tipsy at February 24, 2006 11:49 AM (SJ/QR)
http://www.nationalreview.com/buckley/buckley200602241451.asp
Posted by: tipsy at February 25, 2006 10:30 AM (dZV6/)
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