June 14, 2007

A little sanity, courtesy of SANE Works

From SANE Works' Colonel Thomas Snodgrass (USAF retired) -

In this part I, Colonel Snodgrass begins to apply his strategic critique of Limited War in an affirmative manner to address the problem of Iran. While it is meant as a starting place for a serious discussion, it is light years beyond anything available and will quickly become the text against which others will be judged.

Why are we at war?

To answer that question during World War II, the US Army Signal Corps produced a series of seven films under the supervision of Frank Capra (director of the post–war Christmas classic “It’s a Wonderful Life”) entitled “Why We Fight.” The film series explained with graphics and newsreel footage the issues, strategies, and consequences involved in our war to the death with the Axis Powers of Germany, Japan, and Italy. While the presentations in these films would be considered “dated” and “unsophisticated” by today’s standards, they were effective in their time to unite the American public behind the US war effort on the homefront as well as overseas.

Such unity of American effort is woefully lacking today. Obviously a conspicuous weakness of the Bush administration. But President Bush’ war team is not just bad at communication. Indeed, arguably, they are bad at communication because their message is so bad. For example, we were told for three years effectively that all was going as well as can be expected in Iraq. But the truth was and is that we are losing the war because we did nothing to cut off the flow of money, arms, personnel, and strategy flowing across the borders, notably the southern one with Iran. When a belligerent is not winning in a counterinsurgency, it is losing. Only after losing the last mid-term election, are we told that a reassessment is in order. But even then, the answer was a surge without any clear rationale for how the surge was going to actually make a difference beyond platitudes and wish lists.

More to the point, the Bush administration has remained steadfast in its resolve not to identify the enemy to the American people. We are only told that we are fighting terrorism and terrorists. At times, we are told they are radical Islamists who have somehow hijacked the noble religion of peace. But had President Bush made clear that our enemy is every nation, every regime, every network, every conspiracy, and every individual who preaches, teaches and advocates Shari’a (Islamic law), which is a political ideology bent on world domination, the ability to communicate war goals, progress and strategy would have become infinitely more effectively. Instead, he and his defense team insist we are fighting some kind of tactic without faces other than a few al Qaeda types which leads people to wonder why what we are doing in Iraq and even in Afghanistan.

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Posted by: Kafir at 10:29 AM | Comments (8) | Add Comment
Post contains 487 words, total size 3 kb.

1 perhaps Bush might have retained support longer if he said we were trying to establish a conservative deomocracy in Iraq instead of always saying he wanted a liberal democracy there.

Posted by: John Ryan at June 14, 2007 01:49 PM (TcoRJ)

2 But the truth was and is that we are losing the war ...

Keep speaking this brand of heresy and you'll be off the Jawa team.

Posted by: B at June 14, 2007 03:34 PM (Zlbra)

3 "Keep speaking this brand of heresy and you'll be off the Jawa team."

I'll take my chances.

Posted by: Kafir at June 14, 2007 04:32 PM (HsmTD)

4 Well said ... and done.

Posted by: B at June 14, 2007 04:49 PM (Zlbra)

5 Bracingly insightful stuff.  It is not like no one has mentioned aloud to the Bush "Team"(sic) that they are not doing a good job of articulating the purpose or importance of the war (or, indeed, of defining exactly whom it is that we are fighting). Therefore, one must conclude that the Bush Administration has deliberately chosen a strategy of half-heartedly waging an unexplained  and undeclared war against an undefined enemy for unclear purposes, all the while refraining from taking action against either Iran or Syria or Saudi Arabia for their egregious acts of support for the enemy that is ruthlessly kill our fighting men.  In short, the Bush Administration is incredibly incompetent, callous, and evil.  

Posted by: gunjam at June 14, 2007 10:31 PM (UkCCS)

6 What a crock of shit. Why isn't this posted at Kos? The instant that Bush even hints that Islam, rather than Islamics are responsible for terror, "B" and every other lefty hypocrite will attack him as a Crusader cowboy. Kafir, when the lefty trolls who want us to suffer a humiliating defeat agree with you, that's a clear sign that you've screwed the pooch.

Posted by: The Dread Pundit Bluto at June 15, 2007 03:04 PM (q6AiT)

7 Some quick thoughts on this article:

1. He is correct - there can be no "war on terror" because terror is a tactic, a tool. One could no more wage war on a gun, knife or a grenade as on terrorism.

2. Typical of air force officers, Col. Snograss believes that air superiority is the be all and end all, and that air power alone can handle the job. However history has repeatedly shown that air power alone cannot do the trick, and boots on the ground are required.
It was not air power alone that ended WWII, in fact it was the US and Russian ground forces that did Hitler in.

3. Col. Snodgrass seems to have overlooked our poor intelligence capabilities in the middle east, and seems to have faith that our intelligence services can provide accurate locations of most WMD sites and other critical warfare infrastructure.
With the various Iranian WMD programs so decentralized, this seems unlikely.

4. Iran learned a great deal from the Israeli attack on the Osirak reactor in Iraq. Iranian WMD sites are deeply buried in hardened facilities. I have read reports stating that even our most advanced bunker busters may not be able to penetrate them.

5. Col. Snodgrass glosses over the fact that there will be an inevitable retaliation for air strikes, and that the Straits of Hormuz remain vulnerable. There is also a chance that Iran is already in possession of a nuclear device, not of their own manufacture, and this would not bode well for Israel... or the US.

To sum up, while Col. Snodgrass makes several valid points, and his plan looks good on the surface, it's really just more of the same ol' same ol' about how air power can win wars, all by itself.



Posted by: Kafir at June 15, 2007 04:49 PM (HsmTD)

8 Of course by "Crock of shit," Bluto means, "This shoots too many of my arguments in the ass."

Posted by: B at June 15, 2007 05:02 PM (YTpW6)

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